Kalshi Traders Price 74% Odds of President Trump Impeachment by Jan. 1, 2028

The update reflects market pricing on Kalshi (U.S. event contracts exchange), where traders assign a 74% probability to impeachment occurring before the stated date.

Summary

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Terms & Concepts
  • Kalshi: A U.S.-regulated event contracts exchange where traders buy and sell positions tied to the outcome of future events.
  • Impeachment market: A prediction market contract linked to whether a public official will be impeached by a specified deadline.