Prediction Markets Price 69% Odds of Trump Being Impeached Before 2028

Prediction Markets Price 69% Odds of Trump Being Impeached Before 2028

According to the source, market-implied odds on a prediction market have risen in recent months to about 69% for impeachment before 2028.

Fact Check
The strongest available evidence is the repeated Kalshi search-result evidence for the exact market URL, https://kalshi.com/markets/kximpeach/president-impeached/kximpeach, which consistently describes the market 'Will Trump be impeached? Before Jan 1, 2028' and shows odds in the mid-to-high 60s, including 69%. Independent corroboration from the search result for BeInCrypto's 'Trump's Impeachment Odds' Surge; TRUMP Price May Fall To ATL' also reports 69% on March 26, 2026. However, confidence is reduced because direct fetching of the Kalshi page failed, so I could not validate the exact on-page figure at fetch time. The Odaily link does not support the statement: it traces to the unrelated Polymarket page 'Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?', which is materially unrelated.
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Summary

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